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Research report ยท October 2026 edition

The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training

On 31 Oct 2026, Nuclear, CBRN and defense was the hardest expert field to recruit for AI training work (scarcity index 2.78x, 1.00 = the market), German the hardest language (2.04x) and Agentic Tasks & RL Environments the hardest kind of work (1.81x); 6 groups were scarcer than the market on all three measures: applicants per opening, time to close and pay.

Read the month's story: The AI Training Job Market in October 2026

Provisional figures. This month is complete, but late data can still arrive until 3 Nov 2026, when the edition is frozen for good.

Data window
1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026
31 days, UTC
Computed
1 Nov 2026, 01:11 UTC
Final once frozen
Source
The public job boards of the AI training platforms this site tracks, read every hour, and the apply clicks people make on AITraining.jobs. Fields and languages are read from role titles.
Method
Version 3. Definitions
CC BY 4.0, how to cite

Every figure on this page as CSV and JSON, sent to your work email.

Key findings

  1. 1

    Nuclear, CBRN and defense is the hardest expert field to staff, with a scarcity index of 2.78x (1.00 is the market): its roles draw 0.09x the market's apply clicks per open role, its listings came down 71% less often than other roles of the same age on the same platforms, and it advertises $50/hr, 25% above the market median of $40/hr.

    Figure 1
  2. 2

    German is the hardest language to staff, with a scarcity index of 2.04x (1.00 is the market): its roles draw 0.17x the market's apply clicks per open role, its listings came down 48% less often than other roles of the same age on the same platforms, and it advertises $35/hr, 12% below the market median of $40/hr.

    Figure 2
  3. 3

    Agentic Tasks & RL Environments is the hardest kind of work to staff, with a scarcity index of 1.81x (1.00 is the market): its roles draw 0.36x the market's apply clicks per open role, its listings came down 23% less often than other roles of the same age on the same platforms, and it advertises $65/hr, 63% above the market median of $40/hr.

    Figure 3
  4. 4

    6 of the 44 groups with enough data are scarcer than the market on all three measures (fewer applicants per opening, slower to close than their platforms' other roles, and paid above the market): Nuclear, CBRN and defense (2.78x), Law (2.01x), Agentic Tasks & RL Environments (1.81x), Engineering (non-software) (1.75x) and Law, Medicine & Finance (1.29x).

    Figure 5
  5. 5

    At the other end, Data Annotation & Labeling (kind of work) is the easiest to staff, with an index of 0.55x: its roles draw 3.70x the market's apply clicks per open role, its listings came down 22% more often than other roles of the same age on the same platforms, and it advertises $30/hr, 25% below the market median of $40/hr.

    Figure 4
  6. 6

    Against their own platforms, roles in Trust, safety and child protection stay up longest: 2 came down where 15 would have at their platforms' pace.

    Figure 4
  7. 7

    Law, the best-paid expert field with enough data ($100/hr, 2.50x the market median), draws 0.38x the market's apply clicks per open role, so its scarcity index is 2.01x.

    Figure 1
  8. 8

    44 of the 73 fields, languages and kinds of work listed have enough data on all three measures to be ranked; the rest are shown and marked as small samples.

    Figure 4

Figure 1

Scarcity by expert field

Which professions and disciplines are hardest to recruit for AI training work?

Expert fieldScarcity indexApplicant shortfallSlow closingPay premium
All roles (the market)
1.00x
1.00x1.00x1.00x
Nuclear, CBRN and defense
2.78x
5.00x3.44x1.25x
Law
2.01x
2.61x1.23x2.50x
Physics and astronomy
1.82x
5.00x1.21x1.00x
Engineering (non-software)
1.75x
2.54x1.06x2.00x
Chemistry
1.55x
2.20x1.70x1.00x
Voice acting, music and sound
1.44x
2.81x0.86x1.25x
Finance and accounting
1.39x
1.57x0.86x2.00x
Medicine and nursing
1.25x
0.86x1.14x2.00x
Trust, safety and child protection
1.22x
0.41x5.00x0.88x
Software and IT
1.12x
0.83x1.05x1.63x
Mathematics and statistics
1.11x
1.94x0.70x1.00x
Data science and machine learning
1.11x
0.46x1.46x2.00x
Biology and life sciences
1.06x
1.05x1.02x1.13x
Design and visual arts
1.04x
0.82x1.01x1.38x
Psychology and mental health
0.89x
0.63x0.52x2.13x
Writing and media
0.87x
0.90x0.58x1.25x
Teaching
0.84x
0.53x0.90x1.25x
Translation and interpreting
0.83x
1.24x0.62x0.75x
Humanities and social sciences
0.81x
1.22x0.50x0.88x
Business and management
0.79x
0.50x0.60x1.63x
Earth and environmental scienceSmall sample
0.98x
0.46x1.10x1.88x

Sample. 21 expert fields named in the titles of roles open at the end of 31 Oct 2026; apply clicks from 1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026; listing lifetimes of the 3,167 roles listed from 3 Aug 2026 to 31 Oct 2026.

Scarcity index: the geometric mean of the three ratios beside it, each held between 0.20 and 5.00 so one extreme reading cannot decide it alone. 1.00 is the average role; above 1, harder to staff.

Applicant shortfall: the apply clicks the group's roles would have drawn at the market's rate per open role, over the clicks they drew from 1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 (one over the demand index). Above 1, fewer applicants per opening than the market.

Slow closing: the removals expected if each of the group's roles listed from 3 Aug 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 had come down at its own platform's pace for a role of the same age (its Kaplan-Meier hazard), over the removals seen by the end of 31 Oct 2026. Above 1, its roles stay up longer than other roles on the same platforms. It is read against the same platforms because how long a listing stays up depends first on how its platform posts.

Pay premium: the median advertised hourly rate of the group's roles open at the end of 31 Oct 2026 over the median of every open role stating one ($40/hr).

A row is ranked only when its roles would have drawn at least 1.9 clicks at the market's rate (the weight of the pooled applicant demand of the expert fields, fitted on their own clicks: below it their demand weighs more than its own), at least 6.3 removals were expected at its platforms' pace (the weight of the pooled closing pace of the expert fields, fitted on their own removals: below it their pace weighs more than its own), and at least 3 of its open roles state an hourly rate; otherwise it is marked as a small sample. A ratio capped at 5.00 means no click, or no removal, was recorded.

A role counts for an expert field when its title names it (whole words, the vocabulary of the expert fields report), and counts for each one it names. Titles that name none are not counted.

Source. AITraining.jobs Research, The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training, October 2026 edition.

Figure 2

Scarcity by language

Which languages are hardest to recruit for AI training work?

LanguageScarcity indexApplicant shortfallSlow closingPay premium
All roles (the market)
1.00x
1.00x1.00x1.00x
German
2.04x
5.00x1.94x0.88x
Dutch
1.95x
5.00x1.99x0.75x
Korean
1.39x
4.85x0.73x0.75x
Chinese (Mandarin)
1.23x
2.83x0.88x0.75x
Tamil
1.16x
0.98x2.12x0.75x
Japanese
1.06x
2.09x0.77x0.75x
French
1.04x
1.64x0.78x0.88x
Telugu
1.01x
0.89x1.56x0.75x
Spanish
0.97x
0.82x1.29x0.88x
Portuguese
0.94x
0.64x1.50x0.88x
English
0.79x
0.65x1.02x0.75x
Arabic
0.76x
0.64x0.78x0.88x
Hindi
0.72x
0.52x0.82x0.88x
IcelandicSmall sample
2.80x
5.00x5.00x0.88x
FinnishSmall sample
2.11x
5.00x2.52x0.75x
CroatianSmall sample
2.07x
4.68x2.52x0.75x
NorwegianSmall sample
1.90x
5.00x1.84x0.75x
SwedishSmall sample
1.86x
5.00x1.46x0.88x
GreekSmall sample
1.83x
5.00x1.40x0.88x
HungarianSmall sample
1.81x
5.00x1.36x0.88x
HebrewSmall sample
1.75x
5.00x1.22x0.88x
CatalanSmall sample
1.61x
5.00x1.12x0.75x
DanishSmall sample
1.60x
5.00x1.10x0.75x
CzechSmall sample
1.46x
5.00x0.84x0.75x
ThaiSmall sample
1.43x
3.63x1.29x0.63x
PunjabiSmall sample
1.40x
1.18x3.11x0.75x
GujaratiSmall sample
1.22x
3.77x0.78x0.63x
PolishSmall sample
1.22x
3.22x0.74x0.75x
MarathiSmall sample
1.16x
1.56x1.32x0.75x
UkrainianSmall sample
1.10x
1.83x0.98x0.75x
MalaySmall sample
1.05x
4.58x0.33x0.75x
KannadaSmall sample
1.00x
0.86x1.87x0.63x
ItalianSmall sample
1.00x
1.83x0.72x0.75x
UrduSmall sample
0.85x
0.75x1.09x0.75x
Filipino (Tagalog)Small sample
0.81x
1.80x0.34x0.88x
VietnameseSmall sample
0.78x
0.89x0.70x0.75x
BengaliSmall sample
0.71x
0.44x1.09x0.75x
IndonesianSmall sample
0.71x
0.91x0.45x0.88x
RussianSmall sample
0.67x
0.81x0.51x0.75x
TurkishSmall sample
0.59x
0.41x0.67x0.75x

Sample. 40 languages named in the titles of roles open at the end of 31 Oct 2026 (the 40 with the most open roles); apply clicks from 1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026; listing lifetimes of the 3,167 roles listed from 3 Aug 2026 to 31 Oct 2026.

Scarcity index: the geometric mean of the three ratios beside it, each held between 0.20 and 5.00 so one extreme reading cannot decide it alone. 1.00 is the average role; above 1, harder to staff.

Applicant shortfall: the apply clicks the group's roles would have drawn at the market's rate per open role, over the clicks they drew from 1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 (one over the demand index). Above 1, fewer applicants per opening than the market.

Slow closing: the removals expected if each of the group's roles listed from 3 Aug 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 had come down at its own platform's pace for a role of the same age (its Kaplan-Meier hazard), over the removals seen by the end of 31 Oct 2026. Above 1, its roles stay up longer than other roles on the same platforms. It is read against the same platforms because how long a listing stays up depends first on how its platform posts.

Pay premium: the median advertised hourly rate of the group's roles open at the end of 31 Oct 2026 over the median of every open role stating one ($40/hr).

A row is ranked only when its roles would have drawn at least 1 clicks at the market's rate (the weight of the pooled applicant demand of the languages, fitted on their own clicks: below it their demand weighs more than its own), at least 12.2 removals were expected at its platforms' pace (the weight of the pooled closing pace of the languages, fitted on their own removals: below it their pace weighs more than its own), and at least 3 of its open roles state an hourly rate; otherwise it is marked as a small sample. A ratio capped at 5.00 means no click, or no removal, was recorded.

A role counts for a language when its title names it (whole words, the vocabulary of the languages report), and counts for each one it names. Titles that name none are not counted.

Visitors are shown the roles open in their country first, which lowers the clicks on roles limited to a few countries, as many language roles are.

Source. AITraining.jobs Research, The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training, October 2026 edition.

Figure 3

Scarcity by kind of work

Which kinds of AI training work are hardest to staff?

Kind of workScarcity indexApplicant shortfallSlow closingPay premium
All roles (the market)
1.00x
1.00x1.00x1.00x
Agentic Tasks & RL Environments
1.81x
2.78x1.30x1.63x
Red-Teaming & AI Safety
1.50x
2.20x0.77x2.00x
Law, Medicine & Finance
1.29x
1.09x1.14x1.75x
Multilingual & Localization
1.14x
1.65x1.02x0.88x
Coding & Software Evaluation
1.11x
0.92x0.99x1.50x
Robotics & Physical-AI Data
1.02x
3.28x1.29x0.25x
Transcription, Audio & Speech
1.00x
0.89x1.50x0.75x
Math & STEM
0.98x
1.15x0.83x1.00x
Writing & Content
0.87x
0.79x0.56x1.50x
AI Evaluation & Rating (RLHF)
0.78x
0.81x0.66x0.88x
Data Annotation & Labeling
0.55x
0.27x0.82x0.75x
Research Studies & SurveysSmall sample
2.09x
5.00x0.97x1.88x

Sample. 12 kinds of work with roles open at the end of 31 Oct 2026; apply clicks from 1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026; listing lifetimes of the 3,167 roles listed from 3 Aug 2026 to 31 Oct 2026.

Scarcity index: the geometric mean of the three ratios beside it, each held between 0.20 and 5.00 so one extreme reading cannot decide it alone. 1.00 is the average role; above 1, harder to staff.

Applicant shortfall: the apply clicks the group's roles would have drawn at the market's rate per open role, over the clicks they drew from 1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 (one over the demand index). Above 1, fewer applicants per opening than the market.

Slow closing: the removals expected if each of the group's roles listed from 3 Aug 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 had come down at its own platform's pace for a role of the same age (its Kaplan-Meier hazard), over the removals seen by the end of 31 Oct 2026. Above 1, its roles stay up longer than other roles on the same platforms. It is read against the same platforms because how long a listing stays up depends first on how its platform posts.

Pay premium: the median advertised hourly rate of the group's roles open at the end of 31 Oct 2026 over the median of every open role stating one ($40/hr).

A row is ranked only when its roles would have drawn at least 1.8 clicks at the market's rate (the weight of the pooled applicant demand of the kinds of work, fitted on their own clicks: below it their demand weighs more than its own), at least 14.9 removals were expected at its platforms' pace (the weight of the pooled closing pace of the kinds of work, fitted on their own removals: below it their pace weighs more than its own), and at least 3 of its open roles state an hourly rate; otherwise it is marked as a small sample. A ratio capped at 5.00 means no click, or no removal, was recorded.

Every role is classified into one kind of work.

Source. AITraining.jobs Research, The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training, October 2026 edition.

Figure 4

What each scarcity index is made of

What applicant interest, listing lifetime and pay lie behind each group's scarcity index?

GroupOpen on 31 Oct 2026Clicks per open role a weekMedian advertised payMedian days listedScarcity index
All roles4,3813.41$4025.31.00x
Agentic Tasks & RL Environments1241.22$6513.41.81x
Red-Teaming & AI Safety541.55$8018.31.50x
Law, Medicine & Finance1,5413.14$7029.51.29x
Multilingual & Localization8782.07$3525.51.14x
Coding & Software Evaluation3023.69$6023.11.11x
Robotics & Physical-AI Data1001.04$1025.01.02x
Transcription, Audio & Speech6383.84$3058.01.00x
Math & STEM2482.97$4027.10.98x
Writing & Content334.34$609.20.87x
AI Evaluation & Rating (RLHF)2074.21$3518.50.78x
Data Annotation & Labeling23812.61$3018.00.55x
Research Studies & SurveysSmall sample180.52$7524.12.09x
Nuclear, CBRN and defense470.29$50n/a2.78x
Law1541.31$10033.82.01x
Physics and astronomy750.43$4032.91.82x
Engineering (non-software)2211.35$808.41.75x
Chemistry881.55$4037.81.55x
Voice acting, music and sound1431.21$5018.51.44x
Finance and accounting2402.18$8023.31.39x
Medicine and nursing2293.97$8027.31.25x
Trust, safety and child protection188.31$35n/a1.22x
Software and IT3954.11$6525.51.12x
Mathematics and statistics1101.76$4018.01.11x
Data science and machine learning677.36$8056.41.11x
Biology and life sciences893.26$4527.11.06x
Design and visual arts604.17$5542.01.04x
Psychology and mental health125.44$8526.00.89x
Writing and media303.77$5018.00.87x
Teaching376.49$5027.00.84x
Translation and interpreting702.75$3026.80.83x
Humanities and social sciences282.80$3527.00.81x
Business and management1486.79$6518.00.79x
Earth and environmental scienceSmall sample307.34$7553.30.98x
German880.59$3524.52.04x
Dutch470.57$3033.21.95x
Korean560.70$3020.01.39x
Chinese (Mandarin)781.21$3023.71.23x
Tamil223.49$3050.01.16x
Japanese561.63$3023.71.06x
French912.08$359.81.04x
Telugu223.83$3050.51.01x
Spanish1174.17$3534.80.97x
Portuguese655.35$3524.10.94x
English1955.28$3066.00.79x
Arabic725.36$3514.80.76x
Hindi376.50$3518.50.72x
IcelandicSmall sample120.00$35n/a2.80x
FinnishSmall sample180.09$30n/a2.11x
CroatianSmall sample120.73$3033.22.07x
NorwegianSmall sample170.06$3061.01.90x
SwedishSmall sample260.40$3518.51.86x
GreekSmall sample120.50$35n/a1.83x
HungarianSmall sample130.19$3535.51.81x
HebrewSmall sample210.56$35n/a1.75x
CatalanSmall sample110.23$308.01.61x
DanishSmall sample200.39$3031.41.60x
CzechSmall sample150.26$3027.81.46x
ThaiSmall sample260.94$2526.51.43x
PunjabiSmall sample162.89$30n/a1.40x
GujaratiSmall sample140.91$257.81.22x
PolishSmall sample191.06$3015.21.22x
MarathiSmall sample242.19$308.01.16x
UkrainianSmall sample121.86$3033.21.10x
MalaySmall sample150.74$306.01.05x
KannadaSmall sample143.98$25n/a1.00x
ItalianSmall sample501.87$3014.01.00x
UrduSmall sample124.55$3033.60.85x
Filipino (Tagalog)Small sample161.90$3512.00.81x
VietnameseSmall sample313.82$3017.20.78x
BengaliSmall sample297.78$308.00.71x
IndonesianSmall sample293.77$3513.00.71x
RussianSmall sample354.21$3015.20.67x
TurkishSmall sample218.40$308.00.59x

Sample. Every group in the three scarcity tables. Open roles and pay at the end of 31 Oct 2026; new listings and apply clicks from 1 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026; lifetimes and removals over the 3,167 roles listed from 3 Aug 2026 to 31 Oct 2026, back catalogues left out.

Clicks per open role a week: apply clicks on AITraining.jobs over the days the group's roles were open, times 7. Demand index: that rate over the market's (3.41).

Median days listed: the Kaplan-Meier median from the listing date to the last sighting, as in the listing-lifetime report (n/a when more than half of the group's roles are still listed at the oldest age it can be read at, or fewer than 3 were listed that long ago). It mixes how each platform posts with how fast roles fill, so the index uses the removals against the same platforms' pace instead.

Removed: roles of the cohort that came down. Expected: the removals the same roles would have had at their platforms' hazard for each age; over all roles the two are equal.

A row is ranked only when its clicks read on their own against the applicant demand of the groups it is compared with (each table's rows against their own pooled rate, the weight fitted on their own clicks), its removals read on their own against the closing pace of the groups it is compared with (each table's rows against their own pooled pace, the weight fitted on their own removals), and at least 3 of its open roles state an hourly rate; otherwise it is marked as a small sample. A ratio capped at 5.00 means no click, or no removal, was recorded.

Median advertised pay: the hourly figure postings state (the middle of a stated range), shown with at least 3 roles stating one.

Source. AITraining.jobs Research, The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training, October 2026 edition.

Figure 5

Hardest to staff: scarcer than the market on every measure

Which expertise is short of applicants, slow to close and paid above the market, all at once?

GroupScarcity indexApplicant shortfallSlow closingPay premium
Nuclear, CBRN and defense
2.78x
5.00x3.44x1.25x
Law
2.01x
2.61x1.23x2.50x
Agentic Tasks & RL Environments
1.81x
2.78x1.30x1.63x
Engineering (non-software)
1.75x
2.54x1.06x2.00x
Law, Medicine & Finance
1.29x
1.09x1.14x1.75x
Biology and life sciences
1.06x
1.05x1.02x1.13x

Sample. 6 of the 44 fields, languages and kinds of work with enough data on every measure, at the end of 31 Oct 2026.

Listed when all three ratios are above 1.00: fewer applicants per opening than the market, roles staying up longer than other roles on the same platforms, and a median advertised rate above the market's.

A role can count for a field, a language and a kind of work at once, so one set of roles can appear on several rows.

Source. AITraining.jobs Research, The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training, October 2026 edition.

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Method and definitions

The public job boards of the AI training platforms this site tracks, read every hour, and the apply clicks people make on AITraining.jobs. Fields and languages are read from role titles. Every figure is computed by one database query over the window shown, the same query for the live report and for every edition. Each figure states its sample beneath it.

Scarcity index
The geometric mean of the applicant shortfall, the slow-closing ratio and the pay premium, each held between 0.2 and 5 so one extreme reading cannot decide it alone. 1.00 is the average AI training role; above 1, the group is harder to staff.
Applicant shortfall
The apply clicks a group's roles would have drawn at the market's rate per open role, divided by the clicks they drew in the window: one over the demand index. Above 1, fewer applicants per opening than the market.
Slow closing
For every role listed in the last 26 weeks (from 3 Aug 2026 at the earliest; back catalogues left out), the chance it comes down at each age is read from its own platform's Kaplan-Meier curve; summed over the group's roles, that gives the removals expected at its platforms' pace. Slow closing is expected removals over removals seen. Above 1, the group's roles stay listed longer than other roles of the same age on the same platforms.
Pay premium
The median advertised hourly rate of the group's open roles over the median of every open role stating one. Needs at least 3 roles stating a rate.
Median days listed
The Kaplan-Meier median from the listing date to the last sighting, as in the listing-lifetime report. Published beside the index; not part of it, because it depends first on how each platform posts.
Ranked
A group is ranked when its clicks read on their own against the applicant demand of the groups it is compared with (the clicks its roles would have drawn at the market's rate reach the weight of their pooled demand, fitted on their own clicks), its removals read on their own against the closing pace of the groups it is compared with (its expected removals reach the weight of their pooled pace, fitted on their own removals), and at least 3 of its open roles state an hourly rate. Other groups are shown and marked as small samples.
Expert field and language
Named in a role's title, matched as whole words with the vocabularies of the expert fields and languages reports. A role naming two counts for both.
Open role
A role listed by a given day and still in its platform's feed that day.
Kind of work
Each role is classified from its title and description into one of the twelve kinds of AI training work this site tracks. Every kind links to its own page.
Window
Live: the last 28 complete days, in UTC, with listing lifetimes over every role listed in the 26 weeks to the same end (from 3 Aug 2026 at the earliest). Edition: one calendar month, with lifetimes over every role listed in the 26 weeks to its end, followed to its end.

What this data cannot tell you

  • Applicant interest is measured among the people who use AITraining.jobs, not across the market, and what is shown first gets clicked more: each visitor sees the roles open in their country first, which lowers the clicks on roles limited to a few countries, as many language roles are.
  • A listing coming down is not a hire: a role can close because it filled, because the project ended or because the platform re-posts it. Reading it against the same platforms removes each platform's posting habits, not the reasons a particular role closed.
  • Pay is what postings advertise, not what workers earn, and part of a gap between groups is where they hire: many platforms set lower rates in lower-cost countries.
  • Generic titles hide the field or language of many roles, so a group's counts are a floor; a role can count for a field, a language and a kind of work at once.
  • Platforms that recruit without a public job board are not counted.

How the job feeds are read and roles are classified: site methodology. How fresh, complete and consistent the data is, checked every day: data quality and coverage.

Editions

The live report covers the last 28 complete days and changes every day. Each complete month is also published as an edition, frozen two days after the month ends, so a figure you cite from an edition never moves.

Cite and reuse

Free to quote, chart and republish under CC BY 4.0 with a link to this page. This edition is frozen, so its figures will read the same later.

Citation

AITraining.jobs (2026). The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training, October 2026 edition. https://aitraining.jobs/research/expert-scarcity-index/2026-10

BibTeX

@misc{aitrainingjobs_expert_scarcity_index_2026_10,
  author = {{AITraining.jobs}},
  title = {The Expert Scarcity Index for AI Training, October 2026 edition},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://aitraining.jobs/research/expert-scarcity-index/2026-10}},
}
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